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3rd International Summer School (Causality, Uncertainty and Ignorance), Konstanz (Germany), August 2004

3rd International Summerschool
University of Konstanz, Germany
August 15-21, 2004


 - Christopher R. Hitchcock (Caltech, Pasadena, USA)
 - Richard E. Neapolitan (Northeastern Illinois University, USA)
 - Kevin B. Korb (Monash University, Australia)
 - Rolf Haenni (University of Konstanz, Germany)
 - Jrg Kohlas (University of Fribourg, Switzerland)
 - Michael J. Smithson (Australian National University)
 - Gerd Gigerenzer (Max Planck Institute, Berlin, Germany)
 - Malcolm R. Forster (University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA)


In everyday life, as well as in science, we have to deal with and act on
the basis of partial (i.e. incomplete, uncertain, or even inconsistent)
information. This observation is the source of a broad research activity
from which a number of competing approaches have arisen. There is some
disagreement concerning the way in which partial or full ignorance is and
should be handled. The most successful approaches include both
quantitative aspects (by means of probability theory) and qualitative
aspect (by means of graphical or causal models or logic). Some of these
approaches have important impacts on various disciplines including
philosophy, computer science, statistics, and social science. Most
notably, the relation between causal and probabilistic information is a
topic of interest in all of these fields.

The goal of the summer school is to inspire an interdisciplinary
discussion among researchers and students from different disciplines. This
is in the spirit of the organizing PPM research group which is primarily
interested in probabilistic approaches to problems of philosophical
interest. Topics covered at the summer school include causal models,
Bayesian belief networks, learning, probabilistic argumentation,
Dempster-Shafer theory, and probabilistic logic.

This summer school is the third in an ongoing series at the University of
Konstanz. The first one held in September 2002 focused on the application
of probability theory to topics of philosophical interest. Problems and
questions that arise when probabilistic models and techniques are being
applied in the special sciences were then discussed during the second
summer school held in July 2003.

For more information, please visit


Deadline for applications: April 1, 2004